Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.087551 0.101155 0.116171 0.133976 0.154515 0.177472 0.205087
2026-01-11 0.066745 0.085174 0.107598 0.136895 0.174188 0.220115 0.281047
2026-01-18 0.054809 0.074981 0.101256 0.137998 0.188108 0.254155 0.348009
2026-01-25 0.045791 0.066296 0.094526 0.136254 0.196450 0.280308 0.406339
2026-02-01 0.038344 0.058302 0.087130 0.131835 0.199540 0.298486 0.454587
2026-02-08 0.034223 0.054369 0.084745 0.133916 0.211698 0.330353 0.525863
2026-02-15 0.030537 0.050493 0.081786 0.134463 0.221173 0.358724 0.594550
2026-02-22 0.027732 0.047586 0.079865 0.136210 0.232431 0.390703 0.672217
2026-03-01 0.024535 0.043582 0.075616 0.133460 0.235697 0.409656 0.729897
2026-03-08 0.021926 0.040239 0.072035 0.131317 0.239547 0.429678 0.791232
2026-03-15 0.020208 0.038251 0.070544 0.132607 0.249457 0.461053 0.876017
2026-03-22 0.019379 0.037783 0.071688 0.138765 0.268826 0.511263 1.000922
2026-03-29 0.018239 0.036623 0.071481 0.142468 0.284206 0.556150 1.121780
2026-04-05 0.017121 0.035378 0.070980 0.145551 0.298756 0.601081 1.248152
2026-04-12 0.015910 0.033794 0.069621 0.146724 0.309537 0.639623 1.365822
2026-04-19 0.014524 0.031681 0.066953 0.144868 0.313807 0.665346 1.459532
2026-04-26 0.013028 0.029156 0.063154 0.140170 0.311477 0.677022 1.524287
2026-05-03 0.012295 0.028210 0.062584 0.142382 0.324339 0.722211 1.667666
2026-05-10 0.011496 0.027020 0.061352 0.142965 0.333593 0.760423 1.799498
2026-05-17 0.010865 0.026145 0.060718 0.144822 0.345915 0.806659 1.954949
2026-05-24 0.009953 0.024501 0.058161 0.141898 0.346713 0.826599 2.050205
2026-05-31 0.009171 0.023083 0.055978 0.139619 0.348783 0.849666 2.155573
2026-06-07 0.008685 0.022341 0.055320 0.140990 0.359924 0.895510 2.322664